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About
the Book
All our trading strategies are contrarian strategies. This
is the only way to win the stock market game. In the book
we will show that the classic stock market axioms are not
valid for short-term trading. Let's us show these axioms.
1. Avoid a too frequent switching.
2. The stock market has
no past.
3. No one ever went broke
taking profit.
4. Never buy a stock
after a long decline.
5. Trend is your friend.
6. Never guess the bottom.
7. Never average down.
8. Cut your losses -
use stop loss orders.
Every trader knows these axioms,
however the majority of traders are losing money in the stock
market. Why? Because these axioms are wrong for short term-trading.
In the book we use two simple rules:
- All
market axioms should be statistically proven.
- Do not trust opinions. Trust the
theory of probability.
How did we use the theory of
probability to develop new trading strategies? You will know
this after reading the book. We tried to simplify description
of our methods to make the book as simple as possible.
In the
book we describe all our secrets. You can also develop your
own trading strategy based on our ideas.
F.
A. Q.
How does the book look?
We will provide you a web version of the book in HTML format.
If you buy the book you will receive a password with which
you can open the text files using any web browser. You can
print out the book. It is about 85 - 90 pages.
Other benefits?
We will inform you about new trading strategies which will
be developed. The book is "interactive". You can
ask the author to add more information, to explain the details
of new ideas, ... .
Where can I see performance
of your strategies.
You can visit www.stta-consulting.com
and look at the Long History page.
The book costs $35
You
will be able to read the book in 1 minute
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Table
of Contents
Introduction
1. Basics of stock trading
1.1 How much profit is enough?
1.2 Return and risk
1.3 Profiting from chaos
1.4 Optimization of limit and stop orders
1.5 Computer analysis and real life
1.6 How to buy low and sell high
2. Stock price time dependence
2.1 Market memory
2.2 Trend and volatility
2.3 Time scales
2.4 Correlation
2.5 TD - mapping
3. Market statistics
3.1 Basic definitions
3.2 Dow Jones and others
3.3 Short term predictions
3.4 Average stock and average investor
4. Oversold stocks
4.1 Bottom fishing and the theory of probability
4.2 Stock selection system
4.3 Statistics for oversold stocks
4.4 Overnight moves
5. Basic Trading Strategy
5.1 Statistical Analysis of the Basic Trading Strategy
5.2 Transaction cost and the Basic Trading Strategy
5.3 How dangerous is this game?
5.4 Correlation with the market
6. Lower Risk Strategies
6.1 Stock are oversold - how much?
6.2 Low risk strategy
6.3 Very low risk strategy
7. You bought and ...
7.1 Further price drop
7.2 Moving up
7.3 When to sell
8. Limits and Stops
8.1 General remarks
8.2 Limit orders and average returns
8.3 Stop orders and average returns
9. Small stocks
9.1 Statistics for small stocks
9.2 Risk and return
9.3 Small stocks trading strategies
10. Selling short
10.1 How to define overbought stocks
10.2 Statistics for overbought stocks
10.3 Selling short strategies
11. Other trading strategies
11.1 How many days to hold?
11.2 How many stocks to buy?
11.3 Upgrades and downgrades
11.4 Trading tips
12. Trading portfolio
12.1 Theory of efficient portfolio
12.2 Using the theory of efficient portfolio
Conclusions
Equations
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